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原材料价格正在上涨,铝材料行业加速“洗牌”

返回列表 来源: 发布日期: 2021.07.19

原材料价格正在上涨,铝材料行业加速“洗牌”

根据市场监管局提供的数据,目前我国市场铝价已超过1.8万元/吨。要知道,两年前铝价还不到1.3万元,这使得今年大量从事铝加工的供应商不得不停产转行,寻求生存机会。但事实上,这并不意味着所有从事铝加工的企业都没有利润空间。比如铝加工龙头企业的上游电解铝机组,通过他们庞大的人际关系,仍然可以拿到1.3万吨的原材料价格。这样,他们每吨的利润空间就可以超过4000元。
然而,那些资金实力相对较弱的中小型铝加工企业却苦不堪言。每吨原料1.8万元,他们已经很不愿意基本上让企业不亏损,更不愿意创造利润空间。不少下游企业已暂停对外订单,铝加工业的“洗牌”速度似乎在加快。

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事实上,自去年新皇冠病蔓延以来,中国传统制造业开始大幅萎缩。此前也传出了格力和美的领涨家电产品价格的消息。格力发言人的解释是,原材料价格在上涨,疫情期间的物流成本也在上升。这就是为什么家电价格普遍呈现上涨趋势。虽然铝加工业对物流成本并不十分敏感,但原材料价格的上涨确实是影响其利润的最重要因素。如果得不到廉价的铝资源,企业正在进行的加工活动将毫无意义。
铝工业并非铁板一块。如果铝制品价格因为原材料价格上涨而上调,很快就会被那些低成本同行挤出市场份额。这是不可能的。因此,很多企业一直打着成本控制的口号来扭转企业的盈利模式,但现在这条路并没有那么容易走。提供低价的原材料供应商大多由一些大型铝加工企业控制,他们不会与这些小企业合作。如果这些中下游企业想得到货物,他们至少应该支付每吨2000美元,这仍然是优质商品的来源。有的企业进货价格比大企业高出4000多元。这样一来,他们的利润率就直接降到了最低,甚至连利润都没有了。很多企业忙了半年多。因此,当他们回过头来看,全年的营业利润实际上处于亏损状态。这使得他们无法继续维持目前的业务。他们只能发出企业暂停对外业务往来的通知。一方面,他们在回避当前行业“洗牌”的针锋相对。另一方面,他们急于寻找高质量的商品。另一方面,那些在铝制品加工行业处于领先地位的企业自然坐等收钱。与那些中小企业不同,他们手中的资源是其他企业无法企及的。即使是原材料供应商也要从三家供应商中选择最佳货源。除了商品价格低廉,他们手中的抗风险资金也超出了小企业的承受能力,这使得他们在这次“大洗牌”中成为行业规则的制定者,而其他企业只能被动接受或被淘汰。

According to the data provided by the market supervision bureau, the current price of aluminum in China's market has exceeded 18000 yuan per ton. You should know that the price of aluminum was not more than 13000 yuan two years ago, which makes a large number of suppliers engaged in aluminum processing this year have to stop production and switch to other industries to seek survival opportunities. But in fact, it does not mean that all the enterprises engaged in aluminum processing have no profit space. For example, the upstream electrolytic aluminum units of the leading enterprises in aluminum processing can still get 13000 tons of raw material prices through their huge interpersonal relationship. In this way, their profit space per ton can exceed 4000 yuan.

However, those small and medium-sized aluminum processing enterprises with relatively weak financial strength are miserable. With 18000 yuan per ton of raw materials, they have been very reluctant to basically keep the enterprise from losing money, not to mention creating profit space. Many downstream enterprises have suspended external orders, and the "reshuffle" speed of the aluminum processing industry seems to be accelerating.
In fact, covid-19, the traditional Chinese manufacturing industry began to shrink dramatically since the spread of the new crown disease last year. The news of the rise in the prices of household appliances led by GREE and the United States was also heard earlier. The explanation given by GREE spokesman was that the prices of raw materials were rising, and the logistics costs during the epidemic period were also rising. That's why there is a general upward trend in the prices of household appliances. Although the aluminum processing industry is not very sensitive to the cost of logistics, the rising price of raw materials is indeed the most important factor affecting its profits. If we can not get cheap aluminum resources, the processing activities that enterprises are carrying out will be meaningless.
The aluminum industry is not monolithic. If the price of aluminum products is raised because of the rise in the price of raw materials, it will soon be squeezed out of the market share by those low-cost peers. There is no way to do this. Therefore, many enterprises have been fighting the slogan of cost control to reverse the profit model of enterprises, but now this road is not so easy. Most of the raw material suppliers who provide low prices are controlled by some large aluminum processing enterprises, and they will not cooperate with these small enterprises. If these enterprises in the middle and lower reaches want to get goods, they should at least pay 2000 more per ton, which is still a source of high-quality goods. Some enterprises get goods at a price more than 4000 higher than large enterprises. In this way, their profit margin is directly cut to the minimum, and they even have no profit to make. Many enterprises have been busy for more than half a year. As a result, when they look back, the operating profit of the whole year is actually in a state of loss. This makes them unable to continue to maintain their current business. They can only issue a notice that the enterprises will suspend their foreign business contacts. On the one hand, they are avoiding the tit for tat of the current "reshuffle" of the industry. On the other hand, they are rushing to find high-quality goods. On the other hand, those enterprises in the leading position in the aluminum products processing industry naturally sit at home and wait to collect money. Different from those small and medium-sized enterprises, the resources they have in their hands are beyond the reach of other enterprises. Even the raw material suppliers have to choose from three suppliers to choose the best source of goods. In addition to the low price of goods, the anti risk funds in their hands are also beyond the reach of small enterprises, which makes them become the makers of industry rules in this "big reshuffle", while other enterprises can only passively accept or be eliminated.

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